The Western Conference Finals shifts to San Antonio for Game 3, with the series tied 1-1 and Victor Wembanyama looking to lead the Spurs to a crucial home win.
OKC Thunder @ San Antonio Spurs
The Thunder responded strongly in Game 2 to level the series, but now face a major hurdle heading into San Antonio.
Jalen Williams is expected to miss after suffering another hamstring injury, which leaves a significant hole in OKC’s offense and secondary playmaking.
Meanwhile, the Spurs are hopeful both De’Aaron Fox and Dylan Harper will be available, giving San Antonio a potential edge entering their first home game of the series.
Leg 1 - Victor Wembanyama 14+ Rebounds
Oklahoma City have tried multiple defensive matchups on Wembanyama throughout the series, often landing on Alex Caruso as the primary defender.
While that has helped limit some of Wemby’s scoring efficiency, it has opened the door for him to dominate the glass.
The Spurs superstar has already pulled down 14 offensive rebounds across the first two games and is averaging an absurd 20.5 rebounds for the series.
With San Antonio eager to make a statement at home, expect massive minutes once again for Wembanyama and another huge rebounding performance.
Leg 2 - Jared McCain Over 7.5 Points
Jared McCain continues to prove a brilliant mid-season pickup for Oklahoma City.
The former 76er’s shooting and floor spacing become even more important if Jalen Williams is unavailable.
McCain played 26 minutes in Game 2 and finished with 12 points despite shooting just 4-for-14 from the field.
The volume is what matters here.
He attempted the second most shots for OKC in Game 2, and if he sees similar usage again, clearing this points line should be very achievable.
Leg 3 - Stephon Castle 15+ Points
Castle continues to emerge as one of San Antonio’s most reliable offensive weapons during this playoff run.
The rookie guard backed it up again in Game 2 with 25 points and continues to thrive with the ball in his hands.
Castle has now scored 15+ points in 12 of his last 13 games.
Even if Fox returns, San Antonio are unlikely to move away from the current offensive structure that has worked so effectively throughout the playoffs.
Same Game Multi
Wembanyama 14+ Rebounds / McCain Over 7.5 Points / Castle 15+ Points = $4.20
Value Bet
San Antonio’s defensive approach against Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has been very clear throughout the opening two games.
The Spurs are aggressively collapsing on every drive, often sending Wembanyama across to force the ball out of SGA’s hands.
That strategy has created plenty of playmaking opportunities.
Gilgeous-Alexander recorded 12 assists in Game 1 and followed it with nine in Game 2.
With Williams likely sidelined, Oklahoma City may rely even more heavily on SGA’s creation, which should continue generating assist chances.
