We’ve got two Game 2s on Thursday, including OKC who made a huge statement in their Game 1 demolition of Phoenix.
Phoenix Suns @ OKC Thunder
The Thunder tore the Suns apart in Game 1, and we could be in for something similar again in OKC.
With blowout potential, unders come into play for certain props, but there are still a few angles worth targeting.
Leg 1 - Isaiah Joe 2+ 3PM
Juicy odds to kick things off, but there are two key factors here. Isaiah Joe’s minutes are secure around the 20 mark regardless of game script, and his shot profile is extremely predictable.
Since March 15, Joe is averaging 7.6 field goal attempts per game, with 83% of those coming from beyond the arc. That’s 6.4 three-point attempts per game, converting at roughly three makes.
In Game 1, all eight of his shots were triples, knocking down three, and he’s hit 2+ threes in 10 of his last 12 games.
Leg 2 - Mark Williams Under 7.5 Rebounds
The Suns appear to trust Oso Ighodaro more, which likely limits Mark Williams to a bench role around 20 minutes.
Williams hasn’t played much basketball over the past two months and is averaging just 6.3 rebounds across his last nine games.
He’s also struggled against OKC this season, failing to record 8+ rebounds in all three meetings, averaging just four per game.
Leg 3 - Jalen Williams 15+ Points
After an injury-interrupted season, Jalen Williams made an immediate impact in Game 1 with 22 points in just 29 minutes.
Across his last 10 games he’s averaging 18.1 points, with that jumping to 25.7 per-36 minutes.
Expect OKC to continue building his minutes, likely around the 30 mark again, which should see him clear 15+ comfortably.
Same Game Multi
Joe 2+ 3PM / M Williams Under 7.5 Rebounds / J Williams 15+ Points = $4.33
Value Bet - Alex Caruso 4+ Rebounds @ $3.30
Caruso is a different beast in the postseason, and his minutes were only limited in Game 1 due to the blowout.
He still managed five rebounds in just 13 minutes, and since March 1 he’s been hitting 4+ rebounds at a solid rate.
Across that 16-game stretch he’s averaged 3.3 rebounds, clearing 4+ on nine occasions, including three of his last four despite similar limited minutes.
If his minutes tick up even slightly to the 16-18 range, this becomes a strong play.
