It’s win or go home in LA, with two high-profile teams battling to keep their season alive as the Warriors take on the Clippers.
Golden State Warriors @ LA Clippers
This is a fascinating matchup. Golden State finally welcome back Steph Curry, while the Clippers appear to have adjusted well to life without James Harden.
The Warriors will need Curry at his best to advance, while LA’s hopes once again rest on Kawhi Leonard, who has carried the load for much of the season.
LEG 1 - Steph Curry 25+ Points
Star players have stepped up in the play-in so far, which makes this line appealing for Curry.
He has played just four games since returning from injury, averaging 20.3 points, but his per-36 numbers sit at 27.2 as Steve Kerr has managed his minutes.
Curry had 24 points in just 28 minutes against the Clippers a few days ago. In an elimination game, expect his minutes to push into the mid-30s, which should be enough to clear this line.
LEG 2 - Draymond Green 6+ Assists
Draymond’s playmaking thrives when the Warriors are at full strength.
He has only played two games alongside Curry and Porzingis this season but has recorded 6+ assists in both, averaging nine per game.
His per-36 assist rate sits at 11.3, and he has hit 6+ assists in seven of his last eight games coming into this matchup.
LEG 3 - Kawhi Leonard 25+ Points
The same logic applies to Kawhi, but with even more confidence.
Across his last 19 games, Leonard is averaging 28.1 points and 32.8 points per 36 minutes.
He has scored 25+ points in 14 of those 19 games, and in a win-or-go-home scenario, expect his usage and minutes to peak.
Same Game Multi
Curry 25+ Points / Leonard 25+ Points / Green 6+ Assists = $3.20
VALUE BET - Draymond Green 10+ Assists @ $6.50
Draymond has a history of lifting in big games, including a 10-assist performance in last year’s play-in.
In the only game he has played 30+ minutes alongside Curry and Porzingis, he recorded 12 assists against Houston.
His chemistry with Porzingis has developed quickly, and with Gary Payton II heavily involved, there are plenty of assist pathways in this offense.
