Week 15 finishes off with another must-win game when the Steelers host the Dolphins in Steel City.
Miami Dolphins (6-7) at Pittsburgh Steelers (7-6)
After 4 straight wins, the Dolphins are suddenly right back in the mix for an AFC wildcard spot and a win over the Steelers will make that challenge a lot easier. They thrashed the Jets 34-10 last week and their defence has been on fire. In this winning streak, they've allowed under 18 pts in all 4 games. The only issue could be a ribs issue for starting RB De'Von Achane but Jaylen Wright showed last week he can handle the load with 107 yards on 24 carries.
The Steelers picked up a massive win last week, beating the Ravens 27-22. So, they just need to keep winning and they'll take out the AFC North division. Aaron Rodgers comes off 284 passing yards and a TD pass. He hooked up with DK Metcalf for 7 catches and 148 yards. But they would like more from the running game as they totalled just 34 yards in 17 carries. They have a great matchup against Miami's run D as they allow 125 rush yards per game, so that will be a key matchup.
Leg #1 - Under 42.5 pts
Both teams are playing well defensively so it's expected to be a low scoring grind on Tuesday morning. The Dolphins haven't allowed over 20 pts in a month and the Under has saluted in 5 of their last 6 games. Pittsburgh haven't been a huge scoring team this year and the Under shows a positive trend. They're 4-1 against the Under at home.
Leg #2 - Miami Dolphins +7.5
The Dolphins will likely use their running game to control this matchup and keep the margin close throughout the 4 quarters. Pittsburgh haven't been overly great at stopping the run either. Miami also comes into this one having covered the line in 4 of their last 6 games and they're 4-2 ATS at this venue too.
Leg #3 - Tua Tagovailoa Under 199.5 Passing Yards
Tua has fallen under 200 passing yards in 4 straight games and I don't see that changing against the Steelers. They prefer to run the ball at the moment as Tua is only averaging around 20 passes per game.
Same Game Multi
Under 42.5 pts / Miami Dolphins +7.5 / Tua Tagovailoa Under 199.5 Passing Yards = $0.00
Value Leg - D.K. Metcalf Anytime Touchdown Scorer
Metcalf comes off a season high in targets last week (12) and that's a great sign. He also finished with 148 yards, also a season high. It's fair to say he's due for a TD catch and the volume is definitely there to get the job done.
