The Chiefs are staring down the barrel of possibly missing the playoffs for the first time since 2014. It won't get any easier against the fired-up Texans, who head to Arrowhead with a 4 game winning streak. Here's NFL betting tips for the primetime matchup on Monday morning.
Houston Texans (7-5) at Kansas City Chiefs (6-6)
Houston are on fire at the moment after 4 straight wins. They took down the Colts 20-16 last week in a huge result for their chances of winning the AFC South. They've got QB C.J. Stroud back from a lengthy concussion and he should be better for the run when he faces this Chiefs D on Monday. The key will also be the Texans defence, which is simply on fire. They are the #1 team in the NFL for points allowed (16.5) and can defend both the pass & run. That will be a massive factor against the Chiefs offence.
After just 1 win in their last 4 games, the Chiefs are in danger of missing the playoffs for the first time with Mahomes as QB. With a 6-6 record, they likely can't win the AFC West so they'll need to hope for a wildcard spot and a win over Houston will make that challenge a lot easier.
Leg #1 - Texans +7.5
The Texans will face the Chiefs at an ideal time and keeping the margin under a touchdown should be achievable. They come into this one with a 4 game winning streak and their defence is one of the best units in the NFL. Which should help them contain Mahomes, Rice, Hunt and Kelce. Houston also have a 6-1 record against the AFC and have covered in 6 of their last 9 games. Meanwhile, KC have only covered in 1 of their last 5.
Leg #2 - Under 42.5
This matchup figures to be on the low scoring side. The Chiefs have gone Under in 6 of their last 7 and their offence has been struggling lately. They now face a Texans D that allowed just 16 pts to the Colts last week and the Under has saluted in 5 of their last 7 road games.
Leg #3 - Nico Collins 70+ Receiving Yards
Nico has been a beast lately, going over 70+ receiving yards in 3 of his last 4 games. With Stroud back at QB, they connected for 5 catches and 98 yards in the win over the Colts. He's also had 10+ targets in 5 of his last 6 games, so that should convert to over 70+ yards here.
Same Game Multi
Texans +7.5 / Under 42.5 / Nico Collins 70+ Receiving Yards = $5.20
Value Leg - Dalton Schultz 6+ Receptions
Schultz offers a reliable option in the receptions market. He's gone over 6 catches in 4 of his last 5 games.
Texans +7.5 / Under 42.5 / Nico Collins 70+ Receiving Yards / Dalton Schultz 6+ Receptions = $16.00
