One winning streak has to end when the Brisbane Broncos host the North Queensland Cowboys at Suncorp Stadium this Friday in Round 6 of the NRL.
Brisbane Broncos vs North Queensland Cowboys
Both teams come into this clash having won three straight after dropping their opening two matches of the season.
The Broncos ground out a gritty win over the Titans last week, while the Cowboys produced a dominant 32-0 shutout of the Dragons.
The big story here is Brisbane’s injury list, with much of their spine sidelined.
Leg 1 - Cowboys to Win
The Broncos have won their last six against North Queensland, but this looks like the spot where that streak ends.
Reece Walsh and Ben Hunt are out, while Adam Reynolds is battling a groin issue and is far from 100%.
With the Cowboys playing confident footy and Brisbane missing key pieces, there’s value in the upset.
Leg 2 - Under 48.5 Points
Four of Brisbane’s matches have gone under this line this season, with North Queensland seeing the same result in three games.
The Broncos’ attack is weakened, but their defence has held firm, conceding no more than 14 points since Round 2.
Expect a tight, low-scoring contest.
Leg 3 - Kotoni Staggs to Score
Staggs has an outstanding record against the Cowboys, scoring 11 tries in his last 12 games against them.
He also delivered for us recently with a double against the Dolphins, returning $5.50.
With five tries already this season, he remains a constant threat even if Brisbane are under pressure.
Same Game Multi
Cowboys to Win / Under 48.5 Points / Staggs to Score = $11.00
Value Bet - Cowboys 1-12 @ $3.40
Brisbane have won eight straight against Queensland sides and six in a row against the Cowboys, so a blowout still feels unlikely.
Even with the Broncos under-manned, this shapes as a tight contest.
North Queensland’s last clash against elite opposition in Melbourne was also a close one, and a similar margin looks likely here.