This week's headline play is the Group 1 Memsie Stakes at Caulfield, with Jimmysstar our primary selection at 1.6 units at $4.20 and Angel Capital the each way play at $8.00. Aethelwulf is our strongest Traders' Best Bet at 10 units at $1.50 in Rosehill Race 3.
We head to the Heath on Saturday for an intriguing Memsie Stakes, whilst north of the border some of the more exciting three-year-olds are returning to the track in the San Domenico and the Up and Coming. Off the back of a much-needed winning week last week, let's look to keep the momentum rolling as we analyse the key races and all the best bets from our betr traders.
Feature Races
Caulfield
Memsie Stakes - Caulfield - 1400m G1
Haven't the draws made this an interesting race. Everything you want to be on has drawn awkward and likely have to go back, whilst those horses that look underdone get run of the race. Jimmysstar is the clear horse I want to find here. If he's given a dig early, he could easily find the one-one or the back of a horse like Mr. Brightside and I think it's just about race over. Loves this track and trip, gets the sting out of the ground and absolutely humming at the trials off the back of the Queensland winter campaign.
Cosmic Crusader flying and just toyed with them in both starts but will spot them a big start. Beiwacht and Treasurethemoment both snipped in early markets as they get control on the map but not for me. Angel Capital, if he can hold any kind of position he can bomb them late. High-rated race the Missile and nothing went right. Brightside looks gone and Autumn Boy surely not sharp enough at seven furlongs. Planet Red looks a big price but where does he get to. Backing Jimmysstar and making Angel Capital a winner also.
Jimmysstar @ $4.20 (1.6 Units)
Angel Capital @ $8.00 (0.7 Units)
Rosehill
San Domenico Stakes - Rosehill - 1100m G3 - 3YOs
Good race for the good three-year-olds with several of them kicking off their spring campaigns. Blue Door heads the market off a good return when just collared by Chilly Girl in the shadows in the Rosebud. The one trial prior was likely the difference in her winning and losing but lost no admirers and every favour here at 1100m Rosehill on the bunny. Just short enough. The Slipper winner Guest House resumes off what have been two ok trials. Somewhat tricky map so the market tells the story with him. Warwoven I just don't have an opinion of. Wild Atlantic on debut already $26 into $6 so the price is gone but has trialled superbly. Revengeance three trials revved up for this. Likely sits outside Blue Door and might be the stronger. The roughies all with claims, especially Half Pipe who went great last start. Very tricky race. Blue Door gets conditions to suit, just short enough for mine. Don't want to get heavily involved but I'll have something small on Revengeance who's a course and distance winner and in the right camp to be running well here.
Revengeance @ $9.50 (0.6 Units)
Up and Coming Stakes - Rosehill - 1300m G3 - 3YOs
Filthy here with Genesis Runner going up $15 all-in and off the map in the final field. Loved his run before going out and the latest trial was slick. Well weighted. Plagiarism still a maiden and limited for mine and Savagram had all favours on debut at Canterbury, albeit a nice win. Southend has talent but likely tough from the draw. Outspan I had something on at Caulfield and just got too far back in a muddling affair. He hit the line well and if he can execute from a good draw he's a horse with a turn of foot. Will have something small on him at the price but do think Genesis Runner looks well placed.
Traders' Best Bets
Rosehill Race 3 - Aethelwulf
Up and coming stayer who's toyed with his opposition his past two. A drying track is in his favour, and he'll be winning better races than this. Happy to take the shorts.
Rosehill Race 4 - Beside the Ocean
Following our money with him after he only got warm late first up. 1100m to 1500m is a shocking set-up but getting each-way odds in what is an awful race.
Beside the Ocean @ $5.00 / $1.80 EW (1.3 Units Win / 6 Units Place)
Rosehill Race 5 - Mr Miller
Touted as a lightweight Epsom chance after the stylish resumption. Another suitable race for a horse going through the grades and run of the race from the draw.
Rosehill Race 6 - Kimberley Secrets
She's been super in both runs this prep. Against the bias and race shape in both and stuck on strongly. Gets there easily from the gate and if assisting those on pace, she's hard to run down.
Kimberley Secrets @ $6.00 (1 Unit)
Running Total: +14.4 Units
Big Bets
Where the money has been going across the weekend's major meetings.
Rosehill
| Race | Horse | Bet | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Race 3 No.3 | Aethelwulf | $10,000 | $1.50 |
| Race 5 No.2 | Mr Miller | $4,000 | $1.90 |
| Race 7 No.10 | Genesis Runner | $2,000 | $5.50 |
| Race 8 No.8 | Wild Atlantic | $1,000 | $7.00 |
| Race 10 No.12 | Amazing Eagle | $4,000 | $2.40 |
Caulfield
| Race | Horse | Bet | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Race 6 No.1 | War Machine | $2,000 | $5.50 |
| Race 7 No.9 | American Eagle | $2,000 | $4.80 |
| Race 8 No.7 | Cosmic Crusader | $2,000 | $5.00 |
| Race 9 No.10 | Yellow Jersey | $5,000 | $2.35 |
