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Thursday NRL Tips – Sea Eagles Too Strong for Souths in $6.50 SGM

Two teams locked on 16 points clash in the opening match of Round 14 this Thursday, with the Sea Eagles hosting the Rabbitohs at 4 Pines Park in Manly.

Manly Sea Eagles vs South Sydney Rabbitohs

Manly have won seven of nine since Kieran Foran took over in late March, rocketing themselves to fifth on the table.

They come into this game off the back of a rare defeat though, falling 28-22 to the Sharks last round.

The Rabbitohs have been less impressive in recent weeks, with three losses from their last four. They had a bye last week, before which they dropped back-to-back games against the Cowboys and Dolphins.

Leg 1 - Sea Eagles to Win

This head-to-head has strongly favoured the home side, with 11 of the last 12 meetings won by the hosts.

All signs are pointing towards that trend holding this Thursday, particularly given the Rabbitohs are still without Latrell Mitchell, while Manly get Haumole Olakau'atu and Tolutau Koula back.

Leg 2 - Under 52.5 Points Total

Under Foran, the Sea Eagles have won matches through field position and defence.

This lends to low-scoring encounters. Seven of their last nine have fallen under the 52.5 points total, and last week was the first time they'd conceded more than 18 points since March.

The Rabbitohs without Mitchell have struggled for attacking spark, scoring just five tries over their last two matches.

Leg 3 - Alex Johnston to Score

Manly were exposed on the edges by the Sharks last round, and one player who should take advantage of that is Johnston.

The South Sydney winger has found his way to the tryline consistently in 2026, scoring in every match he's played, with 15 tries from 10 matches.

He's fared well against the Sea Eagles in the past too, bagging 15 tries in 18 games against the club.

Same Game Multi

Sea Eagles to Win / Under 52.5 / Johnston to Score = $6.50

Value Bet

Luke Brooks has consistently been giving Trbojevic short balls to run hard lines off down the left-hand side.

This has been the Rabbitohs' weakest edge in defence, and one that will be reshuffled this week due to the return of David Fifita.

Trbojevic has already picked up three tries this season, including one last round, and should get his chances in this match too.

Ben Trbojevic to Score @ $4.00

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