Penrith head to Canberra on Sunday night looking to remain top of the NRL ladder when they take on the Raiders at GIO Stadium.
Canberra Raiders vs Penrith Panthers
The Panthers haven’t been blowing teams away lately, but they continue to find ways to win.
Despite a scrappy month featuring a loss and two narrow victories, Penrith still sit atop the competition and enter this clash on a three-game winning streak.
Canberra’s recent form has mirrored Penrith’s in some ways, but their poor 1-4 start leaves them buried down in 13th position heading into Round 10.
Leg 1 - Panthers 1-12
The Raiders have actually won the last two meetings between these sides, and Penrith’s recent away performances suggest another close contest could be on the cards.
Canberra regain Hudson Young and Ethan Strange for this matchup, while confidence will be high after comfortably beating the Titans last week despite missing key personnel.
Penrith should still have enough class to grind out another victory, but expect this to be far tougher than the market suggests.
Leg 2 - Under 50.5 Total Points
Both teams have consistently featured in lower-scoring contests throughout 2026.
Six Raiders games this season have finished under 50.5 points including each of their last two.
The Panthers have also gone under this mark six times, with all but one of those occurring away from home.
The head-to-head history strongly supports the trend too, with seven of the last eight meetings between these clubs producing fewer than 50 total points.
Leg 3 - Thomas Jenkins to Score
Jenkins has cooled slightly over the past fortnight after his extraordinary start to the season, but the opportunities continue to come.
The Panthers winger still looks dangerous every time Penrith shift the ball to the edges, and after scoring 16 tries across the opening seven rounds, another feels imminent.
Same Game Multi
Panthers 1-12 / Under 50.5 Total Points / Jenkins to Score = $8.00
Value Bet - Simi Sasagi to Score @ $3.00
Sasagi has become one of Canberra’s biggest attacking threats over the last fortnight, crossing for three tries in his past two matches.
He was outstanding against the Titans last week, scoring twice while also running for 152 metres and producing two line breaks.
The powerful second-rower is running with confidence and should once again create opportunities against Penrith’s edge defence.
