{"id":22330,"date":"2026-09-03T09:12:53","date_gmt":"2026-09-02T23:12:53","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/bb-auae-prd-ext-blog-01.azurewebsites.net\/?p=22330"},"modified":"2026-09-03T09:12:53","modified_gmt":"2026-09-02T23:12:53","slug":"thursday-afl-tips-dockers-to-stay-perfect-at-home-in-5-50-same-game-multi","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/prdextblog01.bluebet.com.au\/afl\/thursday-afl-tips-dockers-to-stay-perfect-at-home-in-5-50-same-game-multi\/","title":{"rendered":"Thursday AFL Tips – Dockers to Stay Perfect at Home in $5.50 Same Game Multi"},"content":{"rendered":"
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Our best bet for Thursday’s AFL Qualifying Final between Fremantle and Hawthorn is the Fremantle 1-39 \/ Gunston 2+ Goals \/ Frederick 1+ Goals \/ Ward 20+ Disposals Same Game Multi at $5.50, with the Dockers 12-0 at Optus Stadium this season and Josh Ward hitting 20+ disposals in 16 of his last 17 games.<\/p>\n

The minor premiers kick off our Qualifying Finals, when the Dockers look to make it 13 from 13 at Optus Stadium this season when they host the Hawks.<\/p>\n

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Fremantle Dockers vs Hawthorn Hawks<\/h2>\n

The Dockers return to their fortress at Optus Stadium, and a win against the Hawks here would lock in a home Preliminary Final.<\/p>\n

It’s been close between the Dockers and Hawks in recent times, but Fremantle have come out on top in their last three meetings.<\/p>\n

With Amiss, Reid, Chapman and Switkowski returning, will they once again defend their home ground?<\/p>\n

Leg 1 – Fremantle 1-39<\/h3>\n

The Dockers have dominated at Optus Stadium this season, with a 12-0 record, including a coverage rate of 75%.<\/p>\n

Although taking the line is tempting, the 1-39 appears to be better value. They’ve played six of the top-eight teams at Optus Stadium this season, and the coverage rate is just 50% against those teams despite going 6-0. All six games were decided in the 1-39 bracket, including their 15-point win over the Hawks during the season.<\/p>\n

Despite a strong win-loss record for the Hawks this season, they’ve got the second worst coverage rate in the league, and in their two games as underdogs this season they’ve lost both. I think the Fremantle preparation will be too much for Hawthorn.<\/p>\n

Leg 2 – Jack Gunston 2+ Goals<\/h3>\n

I think it might be the biggest deficiency in Fremantle’s lineup, and Luke Ryan got horribly exposed by Gunston when they met earlier in the year.<\/p>\n

Gunston ended up with six goals and was way too good for both Ryan and Brennan Cox, the latter not an option on Thursday night.<\/p>\n

He has kicked 2+ goals in 14 of his 17 games this season, and 3+ is still going at a 71% strike rate.<\/p>\n

Leg 3 – Michael Frederick 1+ Goals<\/h3>\n

The Hawks concede plenty of ball to high half forwards, so I think Michael Frederick will get his opportunities.<\/p>\n

You can make a case that Michael Frederick played the best game of his career last time he played Hawthorn, with a career-high 19 disposals to go with three goals.<\/p>\n

He has kicked at least one goal in 12 of his 18 games this season, and at home he’s 7 from 9.<\/p>\n

Leg 4 – Josh Ward 20+ Disposals<\/h3>\n

Has consistently found footy for the Hawks this season.<\/p>\n

Josh Ward has hit 20+ disposals in 19 of his 23 games this season, but it’s his recent form which has been most encouraging, hitting this mark in 16 of his last 17 games.<\/p>\n

During this stretch he’s averaged 23.5 disposals, while from Round 13 onwards that average jumps up to 24.3. Should be busy in this Qualifying Final once again.<\/p>\n

Same Game Multi<\/h2>\n

Fremantle 1-39 \/ Gunston 2+ Goals \/ Frederick 1+ Goals \/ Ward 20+ Disposals = $5.50 <\/a> <\/strong><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Our best bet for Thursday’s AFL Qualifying Final between Fremantle and Hawthorn is the Fremantle 1-39 \/ Gunston 2+ Goals \/ Frederick 1+ Goals \/ Ward 20+ Disposals Same Game Multi at $5.50, with the Dockers 12-0 at Optus Stadium this season and Josh Ward hitting 20+ disposals in 16 […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":18,"featured_media":21689,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1220],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-22330","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-afl"],"acf":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/prdextblog01.bluebet.com.au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/22330","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/prdextblog01.bluebet.com.au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/prdextblog01.bluebet.com.au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/prdextblog01.bluebet.com.au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/18"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/prdextblog01.bluebet.com.au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=22330"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/prdextblog01.bluebet.com.au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/22330\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":22332,"href":"https:\/\/prdextblog01.bluebet.com.au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/22330\/revisions\/22332"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/prdextblog01.bluebet.com.au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/21689"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/prdextblog01.bluebet.com.au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=22330"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/prdextblog01.bluebet.com.au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=22330"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/prdextblog01.bluebet.com.au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=22330"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}