<\/a><\/p>\nWestern Bulldogs vs Collingwood Magpies<\/h2>\n
The Dogs and Pies finished eighth and ninth respectively, and that’s reflected in the market at $1.90 apiece.<\/p>\n
Although it might be tough to find the winner, I do expect this contest to be a grind, with the total points looking slightly high for an elimination final.<\/p>\n
Leg 1 – Under 169.5 Total Points<\/h3>\n
With this being an elimination final, I think we’ll see an extremely defensive grind between the two teams.<\/p>\n
Although the Bulldogs game went overs last week, this was against a Melbourne lineup that had featured in the highest scoring games over the past eight weeks.<\/p>\n
The Western Bulldogs have featured in the most unders games of any team this season, with just a 30% overs coverage rate, and from Round 15 the Dogs have played in the lowest scoring games in the competition, with an average of just 155.3 total points.<\/p>\n
Although they’ve only played three games at the MCG since 2019, all three went under the total points, and I expect a similar result once again.<\/p>\n
Leg 2 – Bailey Dale 25+ Disposals<\/h3>\n
Returned just last week and made a huge difference for the Bulldogs, and from Round 6 onwards Bailey Dale has played extremely well.<\/p>\n
Dale averages 29.2 disposals from this 13-game stretch, hitting 25+ disposals in 12 of those.<\/p>\n
When they played Collingwood in Round 12, Dale finished with 27 disposals, and in his last five games against the Pies he’s hit 25+.<\/p>\n
Leg 3 – Billy Frampton 4+ Marks<\/h3>\n
The Bulldogs concede the most marks to defenders in the competition this season, so expect Billy Frampton to take a few marks as both an interceptor and a link-man switching in back half.<\/p>\n
Frampton averages 5.3 marks per game from Round 5 onwards, hitting 4+ marks in 15 of the last 19 games.<\/p>\n
He had four against the Bulldogs in Round 12 and should see even more this time around.<\/p>\n
Leg 4 – Ed Allan 15+ Disposals<\/h3>\n
Full-time midfielder since Round 13 in a defensive role for the Magpies, and will be even more important on Friday night with no Scott Pendlebury.<\/p>\n
Since entering the Collingwood midfield on a full-time basis, Allan is averaging 19.8 disposals while hitting 15+ disposals on all 11 occasions.<\/p>\n
15+ is a nice kicker for the Same Game Multi, but even 20+ disposals for Allan is worth considering, hitting this mark in his last three games.<\/p>\n
Same Game Multi<\/h2>\n
Under 169.5 Total Points \/ Dale 25+ Disposals \/ Frampton 4+ Marks \/ Allan 15+ Disposals = $4.20 <\/a> <\/strong><\/p>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Our best bet for Friday’s AFL Wildcard clash between the Western Bulldogs and Collingwood Magpies is the Under 169.5 Total Points \/ Dale 25+ Disposals \/ Frampton 4+ Marks \/ Allan 15+ Disposals Same Game Multi at $4.20, with the Bulldogs featuring in the lowest scoring games of any team […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":18,"featured_media":21689,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1220],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-22313","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-afl"],"acf":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/prdextblog01.bluebet.com.au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/22313","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/prdextblog01.bluebet.com.au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/prdextblog01.bluebet.com.au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/prdextblog01.bluebet.com.au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/18"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/prdextblog01.bluebet.com.au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=22313"}],"version-history":[{"count":4,"href":"https:\/\/prdextblog01.bluebet.com.au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/22313\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":22322,"href":"https:\/\/prdextblog01.bluebet.com.au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/22313\/revisions\/22322"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/prdextblog01.bluebet.com.au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/21689"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/prdextblog01.bluebet.com.au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=22313"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/prdextblog01.bluebet.com.au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=22313"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/prdextblog01.bluebet.com.au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=22313"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}