{"id":21904,"date":"2026-05-04T19:35:15","date_gmt":"2026-05-04T09:35:15","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/bb-auae-prd-ext-blog-01.azurewebsites.net\/?p=21904"},"modified":"2026-05-04T19:35:48","modified_gmt":"2026-05-04T09:35:48","slug":"afl-brownlow-predictor-a-101-docker-enters-the-chat","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/prdextblog01.bluebet.com.au\/afl-brownlow-predictor\/afl-brownlow-predictor-a-101-docker-enters-the-chat\/","title":{"rendered":"AFL Brownlow Predictor – A $101 Docker Enters The Chat"},"content":{"rendered":"

With a tough fortnight ahead for Nick Daicos, attention turns to the chasing pack. There\u2019s also a $101 outsider entering the top eight after a best-on-ground performance.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
Rank<\/th>\nName<\/th>\nTeam<\/th>\nVotes<\/th>\nOdds<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n
1<\/td>\nNick Daicos<\/td>\nColl<\/td>\n15.21<\/td>\n$3.00<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
2<\/td>\nJai Newcombe<\/td>\nHaw<\/td>\n12.37<\/td>\n$19<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
3<\/td>\nZak Butters<\/td>\nPA<\/td>\n12.36<\/td>\n$9.00<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
4<\/td>\nMarcus Bontempelli<\/td>\nWB<\/td>\n11.38<\/td>\n$6.00<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
5<\/td>\nChristian Petracca<\/td>\nGC<\/td>\n11.33<\/td>\n$8.00<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
6<\/td>\nBailey Smith<\/td>\nGee<\/td>\n9.69<\/td>\n$10<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
7<\/td>\nHarry Sheezel<\/td>\nNM<\/td>\n9.62<\/td>\n$34<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
8<\/td>\nShai Bolton<\/td>\nFre<\/td>\n9.32<\/td>\n$101<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n

 <\/p>\n

Best Bet – Christian Petracca @ $8.00<\/h2>\n

Petracca sits fifth on our leaderboard but has a strong run coming up to close the gap.<\/p>\n

Gold Coast head to Darwin for the next two weeks where they have a strong record, hosting St Kilda and Port Adelaide, before facing North Melbourne at Marvel.<\/p>\n

With Matt Rowell in doubt and Noah Anderson yet to hit top gear, Petracca is set to take control over the next few rounds.<\/p>\n

Meanwhile, Daicos faces Geelong with a likely tag, followed by Sydney where James Jordan could also go to him. The gap can close quickly.<\/p>\n

Lay – Bailey Smith @ $10<\/h2>\n

Bailey Smith is within striking distance but faces a brutal run.<\/p>\n

He was well held last week despite 26 disposals, lacking his usual influence.<\/p>\n

Geelong now face Collingwood, Brisbane and Sydney. Even if they split those games, it makes consistent polling difficult.<\/p>\n

That puts Smith under pressure at this price.<\/p>\n

Value Bet – Shai Bolton @ $101<\/h2>\n

Jai Newcombe has already shortened from $51 to $19, but the next big mover could be Shai Bolton.<\/p>\n

Now inside the top eight, Bolton has been enormous in his hybrid role for Fremantle.<\/p>\n

He\u2019s produced multiple 30+ disposal games with scoreboard impact, averaging a career-high 24.5 disposals this season.<\/p>\n

His previous best season saw him average 21.7 disposals and poll 14 votes. He\u2019s already operating above that level in 2026 and still flying under the radar.<\/p>\n

The Voting System – Why We Use a Weighted Average Approach<\/h2>\n

We use a weighted average system for Brownlow voting to improve accuracy and fairness in assessing player performances.<\/p>\n

The traditional 3-2-1 method limits vote allocations to whole numbers, often forcing clear distinctions between players whose performances may be nearly identical.<\/p>\n

Our system allows for decimal-based scoring such as 2.5, 1.5 and 0.5, providing a more nuanced reflection of impact.<\/p>\n

This maintains the total of six votes per game while reducing arbitrary decisions and improving prediction accuracy.<\/p>\n

The result is a leaderboard that better reflects how games are actually perceived.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

With a tough fortnight ahead for Nick Daicos, attention turns to the chasing pack. There\u2019s also a $101 outsider entering the top eight after a best-on-ground performance. Rank Name Team Votes Odds 1 Nick Daicos Coll 15.21 $3.00 2 Jai Newcombe Haw 12.37 $19 3 Zak Butters PA 12.36 $9.00 […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":18,"featured_media":21689,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1238],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-21904","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-afl-brownlow-predictor"],"acf":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/prdextblog01.bluebet.com.au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/21904","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/prdextblog01.bluebet.com.au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/prdextblog01.bluebet.com.au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/prdextblog01.bluebet.com.au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/18"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/prdextblog01.bluebet.com.au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=21904"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/prdextblog01.bluebet.com.au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/21904\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":21906,"href":"https:\/\/prdextblog01.bluebet.com.au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/21904\/revisions\/21906"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/prdextblog01.bluebet.com.au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/21689"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/prdextblog01.bluebet.com.au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=21904"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/prdextblog01.bluebet.com.au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=21904"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/prdextblog01.bluebet.com.au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=21904"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}