{"id":21750,"date":"2026-03-20T11:37:14","date_gmt":"2026-03-20T01:37:14","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/bb-auae-prd-ext-blog-01.azurewebsites.net\/?p=21750"},"modified":"2026-03-20T11:37:14","modified_gmt":"2026-03-20T01:37:14","slug":"friday-afl-tips-points-unders-the-play-at-adelaide-oval","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/prdextblog01.bluebet.com.au\/afl\/friday-afl-tips-points-unders-the-play-at-adelaide-oval\/","title":{"rendered":"Friday AFL Tips – Points Unders the Play at Adelaide Oval"},"content":{"rendered":"
It\u2019s a pick\u2019em at Adelaide Oval for Friday night footy, with the Crows hosting the red-hot Western Bulldogs.<\/p>\n
The Bulldogs have surged into premiership contention, opening the season with wins over two 2025 top-eight sides, including last year\u2019s premiers.<\/p>\n
They now face another genuine contender in Adelaide, who impressed in an upset win over Collingwood to start their 2026 campaign.<\/p>\n
Can the Bulldogs maintain their hot start, or will the Crows make it two from two?<\/p>\n
The Bulldogs can score, but this is a massive total for a night game at Adelaide Oval.<\/p>\n
Since 2023, the over has hit in just 36% of Adelaide night games at the venue. That\u2019s with an average total line around 167, and an average match total of just 157.7 across 22 games.<\/p>\n
Scoring has increased in 2026 under the new rules, but this is still a significant jump. Only two of those 22 games would have cleared this number.<\/p>\n
Dale missed this line in Round 0 against Brisbane, but bounced back with 23 disposals against GWS.<\/p>\n
He\u2019s hit 20+ in 84% of his games since the start of 2024, and as the Bulldogs\u2019 primary distributor from kick-ins and in general play, he should find the ball again here.<\/p>\n
Davidson shapes as great value to hit the scoreboard.<\/p>\n
After playing primarily as a wing last season and kicking 13 goals in 19 games, he\u2019s started 2026 strongly with three goals in two matches.<\/p>\n
He\u2019s still rotating through the wing, but Bevo has pushed him higher up the ground at times as a half forward, increasing his scoring opportunities.<\/p>\n
Pedlar is pushing to cement his spot in this Adelaide side, and with Josh Rachele spending more time in the midfield, there\u2019s opportunity inside 50.<\/p>\n
He kicked 1.2 against Collingwood last week and added three goals in the pre-season, showing he\u2019s around the mark.<\/p>\n