{"id":21745,"date":"2026-03-20T11:36:12","date_gmt":"2026-03-20T01:36:12","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/bb-auae-prd-ext-blog-01.azurewebsites.net\/?p=21745"},"modified":"2026-03-20T11:40:50","modified_gmt":"2026-03-20T01:40:50","slug":"friday-nrl-tips-melbourne-set-to-avenge-grand-final-loss","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/prdextblog01.bluebet.com.au\/nrl\/friday-nrl-tips-melbourne-set-to-avenge-grand-final-loss\/","title":{"rendered":"Friday NRL Tips – Melbourne Set to Avenge Grand Final Loss"},"content":{"rendered":"

Friday night brings a rematch of the 2025 NRL Grand Final, with the Melbourne Storm hosting the Brisbane Broncos in a high-stakes Round 3 clash.<\/p>\n

Melbourne Storm vs Brisbane Broncos<\/h2>\n

Melbourne vs Brisbane has been one of the most one-sided head-to-heads in the competition over the past two decades, despite both sides regularly sitting near the top of the table.<\/p>\n

The Storm have won 35 of the last 42 games between the clubs, including the last nine in a row at AAMI Park. But there\u2019s no chance they\u2019ll be complacent here, with the hosts entering this match off the back of a Grand Final loss to Brisbane last season.<\/p>\n

Form couldn\u2019t be more contrasting coming into Round 3, with Melbourne racking up 98 points across their opening two wins, while the Broncos have been woeful in back-to-back losses.<\/p>\n

LEG 1 – Storm -9.5<\/h3>\n

All signs point towards a strong Melbourne win here. And it\u2019s not just the head-to-head, form or motivation for revenge.<\/p>\n

Brisbane are missing one of their key generals in Adam Reynolds, who is sidelined with a rib injury.<\/p>\n

Without Reynolds, their defensive structure and attacking organisation both take a hit. The Broncos need everything to go right to topple Melbourne, and without one of their main playmakers, it\u2019s hard to see that happening.<\/p>\n

LEG 2 – Over 55.5 Points<\/h3>\n

Of the four matches these sides have been involved in this season, three have gone over the 55.5-point mark.<\/p>\n

There\u2019s enough attacking power in Melbourne\u2019s backline to expect plenty of points, as shown by their 98 points so far in 2026.<\/p>\n

Brisbane conceding 66 points across two games doesn\u2019t inspire much confidence that they can contain the Storm.<\/p>\n

LEG 3 – Storm Over 16.5 2nd-Half Points<\/h3>\n

While Melbourne were comfortable winners over the Dragons last week, 28 of their points came in a second-half surge. They also put up 34 after the break in Round 1 against the Eels.<\/p>\n

Whether it\u2019s early rust or superior fitness, this 2026 Storm side is doing its best work in the second half.<\/p>\n

Same Game Multi<\/h3>\n

Storm -9.5 \/ Over 55.5 Points \/ Storm Over 16.5 2nd-Half Points = $3.80<\/strong> <\/a><\/p>\n

VALUE BET – Under 3.5 1st-Half Tries @ $3.80<\/h3>\n

This fixture brings a finals-like level of intensity, so expect the early exchanges to be tight and physical.<\/p>\n

Melbourne will be confident they can absorb that pressure and capitalise later in the game.<\/p>\n

Both regular-season meetings in 2025 had fewer than 3.5 tries in the first half, so another low-scoring opening period wouldn\u2019t surprise.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Friday night brings a rematch of the 2025 NRL Grand Final, with the Melbourne Storm hosting the Brisbane Broncos in a high-stakes Round 3 clash. Melbourne Storm vs Brisbane Broncos Melbourne vs Brisbane has been one of the most one-sided head-to-heads in the competition over the past two decades, despite […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":21,"featured_media":21700,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1219],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-21745","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-nrl"],"acf":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/prdextblog01.bluebet.com.au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/21745","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/prdextblog01.bluebet.com.au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/prdextblog01.bluebet.com.au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/prdextblog01.bluebet.com.au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/21"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/prdextblog01.bluebet.com.au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=21745"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/prdextblog01.bluebet.com.au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/21745\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":21747,"href":"https:\/\/prdextblog01.bluebet.com.au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/21745\/revisions\/21747"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/prdextblog01.bluebet.com.au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/21700"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/prdextblog01.bluebet.com.au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=21745"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/prdextblog01.bluebet.com.au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=21745"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/prdextblog01.bluebet.com.au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=21745"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}