{"id":21648,"date":"2026-01-31T21:17:29","date_gmt":"2026-01-31T11:17:29","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/bb-auae-prd-ext-blog-01.azurewebsites.net\/?p=21648"},"modified":"2026-01-31T21:17:29","modified_gmt":"2026-01-31T11:17:29","slug":"tennis-betting-tips-australian-open-mens-final-tips","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/prdextblog01.bluebet.com.au\/tennis\/tennis-betting-tips-australian-open-mens-final-tips\/","title":{"rendered":"Tennis Betting Tips – Australian Open Men’s Final Tips"},"content":{"rendered":"

No one saw this coming! Novak Djokovic did the impossible against Jannik Sinner in the semifinal, in one of the great Grand Slam semifinals of all time \u2013 while Alcaraz and Zverev\u2019s semifinal was an all-time classic. Can Djokovic win Grand Slam title number 25, or will Alcaraz complete the career Grand Slam?<\/span><\/p>\n

LEG 1 – Carlos Alcaraz<\/strong><\/h3>\n

I\u2019m going to bank on the fact that Carlos Alcaraz doesn\u2019t actually have a groin injury and was instead cramping in the semifinal against Zverev. I just think the Spaniard will be too good for Djokovic here.<\/span><\/p>\n

The career record is very close, with Djokovic leading 5\u20134. Their service + return point percentages are almost identical: Djokovic at 100.1% and Alcaraz at 99.9%.<\/span><\/p>\n

What Djokovic did against Sinner was outrageous, but the Serbian\u2019s service + return point percentage was just 92.5% \u2013 the worst of any victorious player this tournament, even worse than his numbers against Musetti when he didn\u2019t win a set.<\/span><\/p>\n

Like he did against Sinner, can Djokovic back it up with another strategic masterstroke against Carlos? I\u2019m not convinced he can do it again.<\/span><\/p>\n

LEG 2 – Over 3.5 Sets<\/strong><\/h3>\n

Although I think Alcaraz wins, I don\u2019t see this being a straight-sets result. Djokovic\u2019s record against the Spaniard is strong, particularly in big matches \u2013 last year\u2019s Australian Open quarterfinal, the Paris Olympics gold medal match and the 2023 French Open semifinal.<\/span><\/p>\n

Last year\u2019s US Open was the only time Alcaraz really blew Djokovic off the court, and I don\u2019t think that happens again given the question marks around the Spaniard\u2019s fitness and Novak chasing Grand Slam title number 25.<\/span><\/p>\n

LEG 3 – Under 23.5 Total Aces<\/strong><\/h3>\n

Both Djokovic and Alcaraz are two of the best returners on tour, and as a result, when they\u2019ve played historically, there hasn\u2019t been a huge number of aces.<\/span><\/p>\n

Last year\u2019s US Open had a total of 11 aces, while 12 months ago there were 15 in Djokovic\u2019s upset win. Even their two Wimbledon finals averaged just 12 total aces per match on the fast grass courts.<\/span><\/p>\n

Multi = $4.20<\/strong><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

No one saw this coming! Novak Djokovic did the impossible against Jannik Sinner in the semifinal, in one of the great Grand Slam semifinals of all time \u2013 while Alcaraz and Zverev\u2019s semifinal was an all-time classic. Can Djokovic win Grand Slam title number 25, or will Alcaraz complete the […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":18,"featured_media":21650,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[145],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-21648","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-tennis"],"acf":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/prdextblog01.bluebet.com.au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/21648","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/prdextblog01.bluebet.com.au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/prdextblog01.bluebet.com.au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/prdextblog01.bluebet.com.au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/18"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/prdextblog01.bluebet.com.au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=21648"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/prdextblog01.bluebet.com.au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/21648\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":21651,"href":"https:\/\/prdextblog01.bluebet.com.au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/21648\/revisions\/21651"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/prdextblog01.bluebet.com.au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/21650"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/prdextblog01.bluebet.com.au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=21648"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/prdextblog01.bluebet.com.au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=21648"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/prdextblog01.bluebet.com.au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=21648"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}