It\u2019s shaping up to be a fascinating NBA season, with so much movement in the off-season that several win total lines already look ripe for the taking.<\/p>\n
Several contenders have retooled with major off-season moves, while others are starting with long injury lists or the reality of a stacked Western Conference.<\/p>\n
Our 2025\/26 NBA win total tips and predictions break down five of the best over\/under plays on the board \u2014 from breakout candidates ready to surge past expectations, to fading teams that could slide down the standings.<\/p>\n
Under 40.5 Wins ($1.62)<\/b><\/a><\/b><\/p>\n The West is absolutely stacked, so there have to be a few teams that fall away \u2014 and Memphis looks like one that could really struggle.<\/p>\n The Grizzlies replaced Desmond Bane with Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, which is a clear downgrade, and they\u2019ve already been hit with injuries before the season has even started.<\/p>\n Jaren Jackson Jr has only just returned, Zach Edey is out indefinitely and Brandon Clarke isn\u2019t expected back until December, leaving them light on for bigs.<\/p>\n Then there\u2019s Ja Morant. He\u2019s missing the start of the season with another ankle injury, and his ongoing lower-leg issues suggest another interrupted year ahead. If Morant can\u2019t stay on the floor, the Grizzlies could completely bottom out.<\/p>\n Over 48.5 Wins ($1.87)<\/b><\/a><\/b><\/p>\n This might be the deepest roster in the league, and it has to be, given how many injury-prone vets they\u2019ve assembled. But with this group, they can cover absences and still pile up wins.<\/p>\n The Clippers won 50 games last season with Kawhi playing only 37. Despite losing Norman Powell to Miami, they\u2019ve reloaded by adding Bradley Beal, Chris Paul, Brook Lopez and John Collins. Their depth is absurd.<\/p>\n With Bogdan Bogdanovic and Derrick Jones Jr off the bench, Kris Dunn and Nicolas Batum still in the mix, plus a breakout season from Ivica Zubac last year, it\u2019s hard to see how Ty Lue\u2019s side doesn\u2019t match last season\u2019s 50-win tally, and that\u2019s before even mentioning James Harden.<\/p>\n Under 37.5 Wins ($1.80)<\/b><\/a><\/b><\/p>\n It\u2019s hard to doubt a Rick Carlisle team, but too much change in Indiana makes it unlikely they\u2019ll replicate last year\u2019s success.<\/p>\n Tyrese Haliburton is out for the season after rupturing his Achilles in Game 7 of the Finals, while Myles Turner is now in Milwaukee. That\u2019s two of their three best players gone.<\/p>\n The Pacers now lack a true centre, and although Andrew Nembhard will take over at point guard, he won\u2019t come close to Haliburton\u2019s output. Bennedict Mathurin steps into the starting five and could be a Most Improved candidate, but his decision-making and shot selection remain question marks.<\/p>\n This season feels like a reset year until Haliburton returns in 2026\u201327.<\/p>\n
\nLA Clippers<\/b><\/h2>\n
\nIndiana Pacers<\/b><\/h2>\n
\nNew York Knicks<\/b><\/h2>\n