{"id":19816,"date":"2025-08-06T00:10:11","date_gmt":"2025-08-06T00:10:11","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/bb-auae-prd-ext-blog-01.azurewebsites.net\/?p=19816"},"modified":"2025-08-06T00:12:36","modified_gmt":"2025-08-06T00:12:36","slug":"2025-nrl-round-23-betting-tips","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/prdextblog01.bluebet.com.au\/nrl\/2025-nrl-round-23-betting-tips\/","title":{"rendered":"2025 NRL Round 23 Betting Tips"},"content":{"rendered":"
Round 23 kicks off with a top 8 battle in Melbourne as the Storm host the Broncos. Here is a betting preview of every game this weekend in NRL Round 23.<\/p>\n
The Storm head into this one riding a two-game winning streak and fresh off a 16\u201310 win over the Eels in Round 22. They\u2019ve been lightning hot all year – second on the ladder at 14\u20135 – and their attack speaks for itself, topping the NRL in both points and tries scored. Even on the road they\u2019ve been deadly, going 7\u20133 away from home, and they\u2019re rock solid in front of their own fans too at 7\u20132. With four wins in their last five and another chance to pile on the pressure, expect Melbourne\u2019s potent offence to keep rolling against the Broncos.<\/p>\n
The Broncos have been rolling lately, winning four of their last five and absolutely smashing the Rabbitohs 60\u201314 at Lang Park. They sit sixth on the table with an 11\u20138 record, and while their attack is no joke – fourth in the NRL for both points and tries. They\u2019re rock-solid at home (7\u20133) but only 4\u20135 on the road, so facing the Storm away is a real test. Still, if they can keep their hands on the ball and keep the momentum going, they\u2019ll be right in this one.<\/p>\n
Stadium Record<\/strong><\/p>\n Melbourne are 9-1 in their last 10 games at AAMI Park. Brisbane are 3-12 at this venue since 2010.<\/p>\n Head to Head Record<\/strong><\/p>\n In the last 10, the Storm hold a 9-1 record.<\/p>\n Best Bet<\/strong><\/p>\n The Under has become a good bet with the Storm as Hughes is out injured. The Broncos also have a nice 7-0 record against the Under when they travel.<\/p>\n Under 46.5 = $1.87<\/a><\/p>\n Same Game Multi<\/strong><\/p>\n Melbourne have an impressive record against Brisbane at AAMI Park, winning 8 straight. They can also still finish 1st and that should be another motivating factor to win at home. Coates scored last week and has 4 tries in last 3 games. He would love to cross against his former team.<\/p>\n Under 46.5 \/ Melbourne Storm Win \/ Xavier Coates Anytime Goalscorer = $5.25<\/a><\/p>\n The Knights have hit a rough patch, dropping four in a row and limping to a 44\u201318 loss against the Raiders in Canberra. They\u2019re sitting 14th with a 6\u201313 record, and it\u2019s clear why: they lead the league in errors and rank dead last for both points and tries scored. Home hasn\u2019t been much better at 2\u20138, though they\u2019ve managed a respectable 4\u20135 on the road. With just one win in their last five, it\u2019ll be a tall order for Newcastle to turn things around against the Panthers.<\/p>\n The Panthers are flying high on an eight-game winning streak after squeezing past the Titans 30\u201326 in Round 22, thanks to Nathan Cleary. Sitting fifth with an 11\u20137 record, they\u2019ve been rock-solid on the road (5\u20131\u20133) and solid at home (6\u20134). They\u2019ve won all of their last five, and confidence is sky-high as they head into this clash with the Knights. Expect Penrith\u2019s momentum to keep rolling against a struggling Newcastle side.<\/p>\n Stadium Record<\/strong><\/p>\n Newcastle are 2-8 in their last 10 games at McDonald Jones Stadium. Penrith are 5-0 in their last 5 games at this venue.<\/p>\n Head to Head Record<\/strong><\/p>\n In the last 5 meetings, the Panthers have won 4 games against the Knights.<\/p>\n Best Bet<\/strong><\/p>\n The Panthers are looking for a top 4 finish and Newcastle are just playing for pride. So I Penrith make it 9 straight wins with a 2+ try victory.<\/p>\n Penrith Panthers -11.5 = $1.85<\/a><\/p>\n The Raiders sit at the top of the ladder with a 16\u20134 record and despite a bump in the road – an 18\u201312 loss to the Dragons in Wollongong – they\u2019ve still won four of their last five. They\u2019ve been almost unbeatable at home (9\u20131) and strong on the road (7\u20133), all while keeping errors to a minimum (15th-fewest in the NRL) and firing up one of the league\u2019s most potent attacks (third in both points and tries scored). Expect Canberra to shrug off that slip-up and bring the heat against the Sea Eagles.<\/p>\n The Sea Eagles have hit a rough patch, dropping their last two and coming off a 16-point loss to the Roosters at Brookvale. They\u2019re sitting 10th on the ladder with a 9\u201310 record and have won three of their past five. Home has been solid at 6\u20134, but they\u2019ve struggled away (3\u20136). Facing the red-hot Raiders won\u2019t be easy, but if Manly can tighten up on the road and break this skid, they\u2019ll be right in the mix.<\/p>\n Stadium Record<\/strong><\/p>\n Canberra are 9-1 in their last 10 games at this venue. Manly are 6-3 at this venue since 2010.<\/p>\n Head to Head Record<\/strong><\/p>\n In the last 5 meetings, the Sea Eagles have won 3 games against the Raiders.<\/p>\n Best Bet<\/strong><\/p>\n The Over is an impressive 7-0 when the Raiders are at home and both sides have plenty of points in them.<\/p>\n Over 46.5 = $1.87<\/a><\/p>\n The Dragons are coming off a fun 18\u201312 win over the Raiders in Wollongong, snapping a three-game skid with that six-point victory. They\u2019re sitting 11th on the ladder at 7\u201312, and while they\u2019ve been solid at home (5\u20134), their away form (2\u20138) has let them down. With just one win in their last five, they\u2019ll need to bring that energy from home into enemy territory if they\u2019re going to trouble the Sharks.<\/p>\n The Sharks are buzzing right now, riding a four-game winning streak after smashing the Cowboys 32\u201312 at home. They\u2019re sitting seventh on 12\u20138 for the season and have been almost unbeatable at Sharks Stadium (8\u20132), even if their away form (4\u20136) isn\u2019t as flash. With four wins in their last five, they\u2019ll fancy their chances against a Dragons side that\u2019s been up and down. Expect Cronulla\u2019s home crowd to help them keep the momentum rolling.<\/p>\n Stadium Record<\/strong><\/p>\n St. George are 4-6 in their last 10 games at Kogarah. Cronulla are 7-3 in their last 10 games at this venue.<\/p>\n Head to Head Record<\/strong><\/p>\n In the last 10, the Sharks are 10-0 against the Dragons.<\/p>\n Best Bet<\/strong><\/p>\n The Sharks love playing the Dragons and have scored 31+ pts in their last 4 away meetings. But the Dragons are coming off a great win over the Raiders and should be able to score some points as well. So I like the Over, which is 5-0 when the Dragons are the home team.<\/p>\n Over 46.5 = $1.87<\/a><\/p>\n The Dolphins are on a high, riding a two-game win streak after sneaking past the Warriors 20\u201318 in Round 22. Sitting eighth at 10\u20139, they\u2019ve been rock-solid both home (5\u20134) and away (5\u20135), and their attack packs a punch – second in the NRL for both points and tries – while keeping errors to a minimum (16th-fewest). With three wins in their last five, look for Brisbane to lean on that firepower and keep the momentum rolling against a Roosters side that\u2019ll be keen to spoil the party.<\/p>\n The Roosters come into this one sitting ninth on a 9\u201310 record after trouncing the Sea Eagles 20\u20134 in Round 22, but they\u2019ve only managed two wins from their last five. They\u2019ve actually been better away (5\u20134) than at home (4\u20136) this season. Offensively they\u2019re solid – fifth in the NRL for both points and tries scored – but they\u2019ve been sloppy with the ball, ranking third worst for errors. They\u2019ll need to clean that up if they want to break the Dolphins\u2019 momentum and climb the ladder.<\/p>\n Stadium Record<\/strong><\/p>\n The Dolphins are 7-3 in their last 10 games at Suncorp. Sydney are 3-2 in their last 5 games at this venue.<\/p>\n Head to Head Record<\/strong><\/p>\n The Roosters are 3-1 against the Dolphins since 2023.<\/p>\n Best Bet<\/strong><\/p>\n The Over has saluted in the last 2 meetings and it’s 5-1 when the Dolphins are at Suncorp too.<\/p>\n Over 47.5 = $1.85<\/a><\/p>\n The Bulldogs sit third on the ladder with a solid 14\u20135 record, though they stumbled last time out, going down 28\u201314 to the Tigers at Western Sydney Stadium. They\u2019ve been tough away (7\u20133) and even tougher at home (7\u20132), and have picked up three wins from their last five. Facing the Warriors, expect Canterbury\u2019s balanced form and hungry mindset to make this a tight, high-energy clash.<\/p>\n The Warriors head into this one sitting fourth with a 12\u20137 record, but they\u2019ve hit a bit of a bump – losing two in a row and coming off a 20\u201318 loss to the Dolphins at Mount Smart. They\u2019ve been pretty consistent both home (6\u20134) and away (6\u20133), though their last five games have only yielded two wins. The good news? They\u2019ve been rock-solid with ball security, ranking 17th in the NRL for errors (that\u2019s one of the best marks in the league), so if they can shake off that skid and tighten up around the ruck, they\u2019ll fancy their chances against a Bulldogs side that\u2019s tough but beatable.<\/p>\n Stadium Record<\/strong><\/p>\n Canterbury are 3-2 in their last 5 games at this venue. New Zealand are 7-8 at this venue since 2010.<\/p>\n Head to Head Record<\/strong><\/p>\n In the last 10 meetings, the Warriors have won 7 games against the Bulldogs.<\/p>\n Best Bet<\/strong><\/p>\n Saturday night should be a tough and low scoring battle between these two and the Under is 7-1 in the Dogs last 8 games.<\/p>\n Under 42.5 = $1.87<\/a><\/p>\n The Titans are struggling this season at 5\u201314 and just can\u2019t seem to find their groove, dropping four of their last five – most recently a tight 30\u201326 loss to the Panthers at Robina Stadium. They\u2019ve been off the pace both at home (2\u20137) and on the road (3\u20137), though they\u2019ve done a decent job hanging onto the ball (14th in the NRL for fewest errors). Sitting bottom of the ladder in 16th, they\u2019ll need something special to upset the Rabbitohs.<\/p>\n Souths are in a world of pain right now, sitting 17th on 6\u201314 and stuck on a nine-game losing skid after getting rolled 60\u201314 by the Broncos at Lang Park. Their attack has barely fired all year – 16th in both points and tries – and they\u2019ve gone winless in their last five. They\u2019ve been slightly better at home (4\u20136) than on the road (2\u20138), but with form this rough, it\u2019s hard to see them turning it around against the Titans.<\/p>\n Stadium Record<\/strong><\/p>\n Gold Coast are 1-4 in their last 5 games at this venue. South Sydney are 12-0 at this venue since 2010.<\/p>\n Head to Head Record<\/strong><\/p>\n The Rabbitohs are 15-3 against the Titans since 2010.<\/p>\n Best Bet<\/strong><\/p>\n Souths gave up 60 pts last week and their last 3 interstate games have gone Over the total. Should be friendly scoring conditions on the GC.<\/p>\nNewcastle Knights (14th) vs Penrith Panthers (5th)<\/h3>\n
Canberra Raiders (1st) vs Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles (10th)<\/h3>\n
St. George Illawarra Dragons (11th) vs Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks (7th)<\/h3>\n
Dolphins (8th) vs Sydney Roosters (9th)<\/h3>\n
Canterbury-Bankstown Bulldogs (3rd) vs New Zealand Warriors (4th)<\/h3>\n
Gold Coast Titans (16th) vs South Sydney Rabbitohs (17th)<\/h3>\n