GROUP 1
\n1600M
\nRAIL +3M ENTIRE
\nGOOD 4<\/p>\n
The Sydney Autumn Carnival has begun and on Saturday the Group 1 Randwick Guineas will headline
\na fantastic card of racing from Royal Randwick. The three-year-old\u2019s are set to do battle over the
\nfamous Randwick mile and it\u2019s the boom Kiwi gelding Aegon who they\u2019ll all be chasing, having kept
\nhis unbeaten record intact with a booming win in his Australian debut. The forecast is looking good
\nso expect them to be racing on a good track and with the rail at +3M, running line and middle lanes
\nin the straight look advantageous.<\/p>\n
Predicting above average tempo here with the likes of MARSANNAY and PELTZER, who has drawn
\nwide, working forward to find prominent positions. HARMONY ROSE, the sole filly in the race should
\nfollow Peltzer across with the likes of HERE TO SHOCK, BUCHAREST and WHEELHOUSE searching for
\nspots. NORTH PACIFIC will be right there and should get run of the race. LIONS ROAR midfield or just
\nworse in company with race fancies MO\u2019UNGA and AEGON. PRIME STAR may be forced to go back
\nfrom the gate or they may go forward and hope for luck. KINGS LEGACY and THE ELANORA look to
\nsee them all.<\/p>\n
7. MO\u2019UNGA<\/strong> ($6.50<\/a>) (Tommy Berry\/Annabel Neasham)<\/p>\n I\u2019m in the corner of Mo\u2019unga here at the price. Showed he was a horse of considerable talent in the 1. AEGON<\/strong> ($2.20<\/a>) (Hugh Bowman\/Murray Baker & Andrew Forsman)<\/p>\n There was talk that our three-year-old crop was fairly weak and this horse Aegon may have
\nSpring claiming the Dulcify before lining up in the Caulfield Guineas where he SP $7. Failed there but
\nI think it just came a little bit too soon for him. Showed first up in the CS Hayes at Flemington that
\nhe\u2019d returned well when sitting much closer to the speed and grinding hard to the line to finish third
\nto Tagaloa in a really fast run race (14 lengths above Benchmark overall). That\u2019s a nice platform
\nheading to the mile now and I love the set up with the three weeks between runs. Gets the blinkers
\non for the first time which is a positive gear change and from the low draw, the fact that he showed
\nsome tactical speed first up may allow T Berry to be a little closer in the run. Aegon is hard to topple
\nbut at the early prices I was happy to side with this bloke on an each-way basis.<\/p>\n
\nconfirmed that with his win on debut in Australian in the Hobartville (1400m) when he gave North
\nPacific and co a hiding. Now unbeaten in 5 starts, he puts that record on the line again on Saturday
\nand he again looks hard to topple. The step to the mile is a positive for sure having won previously
\nover the trip in NZ. Some will say that going from a rain affected track to a dry track may pull him up
\nbut the majority of his runs in NZ were also on good tracks so I think he handles all surfaces.
\nDissecting his win in the Hobartville, it was a very slowly run race. Of three 1400m races run on that
\nday the Hobartville was the slowest overall time. Is it all hollow form? I would lean to saying no, as
\nAegon\u2019s closing splits were very strong and he did certainly look to have something in hand when
\ncrossing the line. He did come up the best part of the track but I\u2019d be hard pressed to back anything
\nbehind him that day to turn the tables. Will get back but it\u2019s a good draw for him to be able to find
\nclear air in the straight and to work through his gears. Hard to beat but short enough.<\/p>\n