I\u2019m going with Louie the Legend from the Busuttin\/Young yard. The stable seems to have a big opinion of this horse and they are desperate to get him into the derby. He ran fourth behind Extra Brut in the UCI Stakes a couple of weeks ago.<\/p>\n
I think he has continued to improve throughout the preparation and despite drawing a shocking barrier, I think he will be in the money.<\/p>\n
John Sargent\u2019s Home Ground also deserves some respect. He ran eighth in the Spring Champion Stakes where he gave the field a significant start and ran into trouble on a heavily rain affected track but still managed to make up some ground.<\/p>\n
The High Chaparrals are flying at the moment and I think he could also be in the money.<\/p>\n
Tip: Louie the Legend $8\/$2.75<\/a> & Home Ground $10\/$3.30<\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n Bet Now<\/a><\/p>\n International raider Withhold is the clear favourite in the race despite not having any form over 2400m. I would say this race is more to bring him on for the Melbourne Cup, but he is a talented horse in England and deserves respect.<\/p>\n I think Wall of Fire from the Maher\/Eustace team is the best roughie of the race. This will be his third run in, so he will be at peak fitness and I thought he ran on well in the St Leger on a bog track behind Big Blue.<\/p>\n Darren Weir\u2019s Yogi is another horse who is on the up and wouldn\u2019t surprise if he were to win. He has little weight and doesn\u2019t mind a soft track so he could go all the way and get into the Cup.<\/p>\n Tip: Wall of Fire place – $5.50<\/a>, Yogi $6\/$2.25<\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n Bet Now<\/a><\/p>\n Shanghai Patrol, trained by Matthew Dale, is the clear favourite and rightly so. He has won two in a row, one on a heavy track which is what they will get on Wednesday.<\/p>\n He is far better in the weights than the other two who have been firmly backed and weight makes a big difference on heavy ground.<\/p>\n My only concern is drawing barrier two as he will likely be caught on the fence and that\u2019s where the worst part of a wet track is but it\u2019s only the third race of the day, so it shouldn\u2019t be too chopped up by then.<\/p>\n The top two weighted horses, Tamarack and Ilwendo, deserve respect but they\u2019re giving up too much weight for me.<\/p>\n Tip: Shanghai Patrol $2.65<\/a> Win<\/strong><\/p>\nGeelong R7 \u2013 Geelong Cup<\/a><\/h2>\n
Warwick Farm R3<\/a><\/h2>\n