NFL Previews – Betr Blog

NFL Tips – Dolphins to test Steelers in must win clash!

Matt Abrahams — Thu, 11 Dec 2025 05:14:48 +0000

Week 15 finishes off with another must-win game when the Steelers host the Dolphins in Steel City.

Miami Dolphins (6-7) at Pittsburgh Steelers (7-6)

After 4 straight wins, the Dolphins are suddenly right back in the mix for an AFC wildcard spot and a win over the Steelers will make that challenge a lot easier. They thrashed the Jets 34-10 last week and their defence has been on fire. In this winning streak, they’ve allowed under 18 pts in all 4 games. The only issue could be a ribs issue for starting RB De’Von Achane but Jaylen Wright showed last week he can handle the load with 107 yards on 24 carries.

The Steelers picked up a massive win last week, beating the Ravens 27-22. So, they just need to keep winning and they’ll take out the AFC North division. Aaron Rodgers comes off 284 passing yards and a TD pass. He hooked up with DK Metcalf for 7 catches and 148 yards. But they would like more from the running game as they totalled just 34 yards in 17 carries. They have a great matchup against Miami’s run D as they allow 125 rush yards per game, so that will be a key matchup.

Leg #1 – Under 42.5 pts

Both teams are playing well defensively so it’s expected to be a low scoring grind on Tuesday morning. The Dolphins haven’t allowed over 20 pts in a month and the Under has saluted in 5 of their last 6 games. Pittsburgh haven’t been a huge scoring team this year and the Under shows a positive trend. They’re 4-1 against the Under at home.

Leg #2 – Miami Dolphins +7.5

The Dolphins will likely use their running game to control this matchup and keep the margin close throughout the 4 quarters. Pittsburgh haven’t been overly great at stopping the run either. Miami also comes into this one having covered the line in 4 of their last 6 games and they’re 4-2 ATS at this venue too.

Leg #3 – Tua Tagovailoa Under 199.5 Passing Yards

Tua has fallen under 200 passing yards in 4 straight games and I don’t see that changing against the Steelers. They prefer to run the ball at the moment as Tua is only averaging around 20 passes per game.

Same Game Multi

Under 42.5 pts / Miami Dolphins +7.5 / Tua Tagovailoa Under 199.5 Passing Yards = $0.00

Value Leg – D.K. Metcalf Anytime Touchdown Scorer

Metcalf comes off a season high in targets last week (12) and that’s a great sign. He also finished with 148 yards, also a season high. It’s fair to say he’s due for a TD catch and the volume is definitely there to get the job done.

Under 42.5 pts / Miami Dolphins +7.5 / Tua Tagovailoa Under 199.5 Passing Yards / D.K. Metcalf Anytime Touchdown Scorer = $11.00

NFL Tips – Playoff Dream on the line in Dallas!

Matt Abrahams — Thu, 11 Dec 2025 05:13:43 +0000

The Vikings and Cowboys are both desperate to make the playoffs, making this is a huge primetime clash to cap off the Monday slate. Here are my thoughts and betting tips for this matchup.

Minnesota Vikings (5-8) at Dallas Cowboys (6-6-1)

The Vikings showed some life last week in a 31-0 shutout of the Commanders and that stopped a 4 game losing streak. Their chances of making the playoffs are still alive, but they need a miracle. The positive last week was the performance by J.J. McCarthy, finishing with 3 touchdown passes and no turnovers. So let’s see if they can keep it going against the Cowboys because a loss will mean it’s season over.

A nice little 3 game winning streak ended last week when the Cowboys couldn’t handle the Lions firepower in a 44-30 loss. It puts them back in the NFC wildcard race and similar to the Vikings, they will likely need a lot to go there way if they want to make the playoffs. The issue has been their defence, which is allowed 29.7 points per game (31st per game). But if they can rattle McCarthy and force turnovers, that will be the major key to victory.

Leg #1 – Over 45.5 pts

The Cowboys give up points like few else and the Vikings come in hot, so look for a high scoring clash. The Over is also 5-2 in the Vikings last 7 road games and they come off scoring 31 pts. Dallas have an impressive 8-2 record against the Over and 10-5 when they play a team from the NFC.

Leg #2 – Dak Prescott 250+ Passing Yards

Dak has been a passing beast over the last 3 weeks, going over 320 pass yards in all 3. He passed for 376 yards last week and previously had 320 and 354 against the Chiefs/Eagles. So 250+ looks like a safe bet.

Leg #3 – George Pickens Anytime Touchdown Scorer

Pickens looked checked out last week but I’m expecting a bounce back. He’s tied for 5th in the NFL with 8 touchdowns this season and still has been targeted 9 or times in 6 straight games.

Same Game Multi

Over 45.5 pts / Dak Prescott 250+ Passing Yards / George Pickens Anytime Touchdown Scorer = $3.80

Value Leg – Ryan Flournoy Anytime Touchdown Scorer

Flournoy had a massive game last week, catching 9 balls for 115 yards and a TD. He’s now caught a TD in 3 of his last 5 games, so last week wasn’t a fluke. Great value play to get into the endzone.

Over 45.5 pts / Dak Prescott 250+ Passing Yards / George Pickens Anytime Touchdown Scorer / Ryan Flournoy Anytime Touchdown Scorer = $11.00

NFL Tips – Bucs Chase NFC South Crown!

Matt Abrahams — Thu, 11 Dec 2025 05:12:37 +0000

It’s a NFC South divisional rivalry to start off Week 15 as the Bucs look to seal up a playoff spot against the struggling Falcons. Here’s my NFL betting tips for this clash.

Atlanta Falcons (4-9) at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (7-6)

The Falcons are out of playoff contention but will be looking to become the upset hunter as the season nears the end, starting with the Bucs, a divisional foe, on Friday morning. They come into this matchup with not a lot of form, losing 4 of their last 5 and got smashed by the Seahawks last week, 37-9. Winning on the road has been tough too, they’ve lost 5 of their last 6 and will need Kirk Cousins to have a blinder for a chance at an upset.

Tampa are 7-6 but have been very average lately, winning just 1 of their last 5. They come off a close loss against the Saints last week (24-20). QB Baker Mayfield has been playing through a shoulder injury, making it tough for the offence to score. But they’ve got Evans back this week and Godwin as well. With a lead in the NFC South over the Panthers, this is a must-win game for their chances of winning the division.

Leg #1 – Buccaneers -2.5

Tampa have a lot to play for in this matchup compared to the Falcons and I think they get the job done by a field goal or more. Baker should enjoy having the likes of Evans and Godwin together in the passing game. Meanwhile, the Bucs defence should be able to pressure Cousins into mistakes, as has been the case since he took over the starting QB role.

Leg #2 – Over 43.5 pts

The trends are pointing towards a high scoring affair on a short week. The Bucs and Falcons have gone 14-5 against the Over in their last 19 meetings. It’s also 5-2 when the Bucs are the home team. Atlanta are 5-1 against the Over in their last 6 games and both sides give up around 25 points per game.

Leg #3 – Bijan Robinson 70+ Rushing Yards

Another 70+ rushing day looks to be on cards for Robinson, the heartbeat of this Falcons offence. He comes off 86 yards in a massive loss last week and in 2 of his last 4 games, he’s gone over 100 rushing yards. Tampa also gave up 70 yards to a RB last week and 3 rushing TD’s.

Same Game Multi

Buccaneers -2.5 / Over 43.5 pts / Bijan Robinson 70+ Rushing Yards = $5.40

Value Leg – Bucky Irving Anytime Touchdown Scorer

Bucky is looking to make it 4 straight games with a TD. Coming into this matchup, he’s a caught a TD against the Saints, ran one in against Arizona and previously had 5 catches/102 yards/1 TD against the Eagles.

Buccaneers -2.5 / Over 43.5 pts / Bijan Robinson 70+ Rushing Yards / Bucky Irving Anytime Touchdown Scorer = $8.00

NFL Tips – Chargers and Eagles Battle for a Playoff Spot!

Matt Abrahams — Fri, 05 Dec 2025 12:43:31 +0000

Tuesday’s primetime matchup is a massive matchup between two sides with 8-4 records. The Chargers are looking to seal up a wildcard playoff spot and the Eagles are looking to get back on track after 2 straight defeats. Here are my NFL betting tips for the last game of Week 14.

Philadelphia Eagles (8-4) at Los Angeles Chargers (8-4)

After back to back losses, the Eagles are looking to bounce back in primetime this week. Last week, they lost a key game against the Bears 24-15 and their offence just continues to struggle. They rank just 19th in the NFL for points socred and have struggled to get both their running and passing game going. The Eagles D also struggled to stop the run last week, giving up a massive total of 281 rushing yards.

Coming off a shocker against the Jags (35-6 loss), the Chargers got back on track last week with a comfortable 31-14 win over the Raiders. Justin Herbert tossed 2 passing touchdowns but it will be interesting to see how he goes after hurting his non-throwing hand. However, they ran the ball with ease, totalling 192 rushing yards and Vidal finished with 126 yards / 1 TD. That’s a great sign coming into this matchup with the Eagles struggling run defence.

Leg #1 – Under 42.5

The Eagles are struggling to score points and Herbert has a hand injury, so those factors should see this be a low scoring one. Philly are 4-1 against the Under in their last 5 games as well.

Leg #2 – Chargers +3.5

With the Eagles struggling on both sides of the ball, the Chargers should be able to make this a close game and potentially get the upset at home. They love playing Philly at home, winning 5 of their last 6 and LA are hot at the moment after 4 wins in their last 5. The Eagles are just 1-5 against the Chargers on the road and they’re definitely not in the best form right now.

Leg #3 – Jalen Hurts 175+ Passing Yards

Despite the Eagles struggles, Hurts has been able to get their passing game going in the last 2 weeks. Against the Bears last week, he had 230 pass yards and previously had 289 against Dallas. This season, he has gone over 175 passing yards in 8 of 12 games.

Same Game Multi

Under 42.5 / Chargers +3.5 / Jalen Hurts 175+ Passing Yards = $4.90

Value Leg – Kimani Vidal Anytime Touchdown Scorer

Vidal gets a great matchup against an Eagles D that was torched by the Bears running game last week. I can also see the Chargers leaning on the run with Herbert’s hand injury. In his last game, he had 25 carries for 126 yards and punched in a TD. In his last 3 games with 20+ carries, he’s scored a TD in all 3.

Under 42.5 / Chargers +3.5 / Jalen Hurts 175+ Passing Yards / Kimani Vidal Anytime Touchdown Scorer = $16.00

NFL Tips – Chiefs Playoff Streak On the Line in this $16 SGM!

Matt Abrahams — Fri, 05 Dec 2025 12:41:58 +0000

The Chiefs are staring down the barrel of possibly missing the playoffs for the first time since 2014. It won’t get any easier against the fired-up Texans, who head to Arrowhead with a 4 game winning streak. Here’s NFL betting tips for the primetime matchup on Monday morning.

Houston Texans (7-5) at Kansas City Chiefs (6-6)

Houston are on fire at the moment after 4 straight wins. They took down the Colts 20-16 last week in a huge result for their chances of winning the AFC South. They’ve got QB C.J. Stroud back from a lengthy concussion and he should be better for the run when he faces this Chiefs D on Monday. The key will also be the Texans defence, which is simply on fire. They are the #1 team in the NFL for points allowed (16.5) and can defend both the pass & run. That will be a massive factor against the Chiefs offence.

After just 1 win in their last 4 games, the Chiefs are in danger of missing the playoffs for the first time with Mahomes as QB. With a 6-6 record, they likely can’t win the AFC West so they’ll need to hope for a wildcard spot and a win over Houston will make that challenge a lot easier.

Leg #1 – Texans +7.5

The Texans will face the Chiefs at an ideal time and keeping the margin under a touchdown should be achievable. They come into this one with a 4 game winning streak and their defence is one of the best units in the NFL. Which should help them contain Mahomes, Rice, Hunt and Kelce. Houston also have a 6-1 record against the AFC and have covered in 6 of their last 9 games. Meanwhile, KC have only covered in 1 of their last 5.

Leg #2 – Under 42.5

This matchup figures to be on the low scoring side. The Chiefs have gone Under in 6 of their last 7 and their offence has been struggling lately. They now face a Texans D that allowed just 16 pts to the Colts last week and the Under has saluted in 5 of their last 7 road games.

Leg #3 – Nico Collins 70+ Receiving Yards

Nico has been a beast lately, going over 70+ receiving yards in 3 of his last 4 games. With Stroud back at QB, they connected for 5 catches and 98 yards in the win over the Colts. He’s also had 10+ targets in 5 of his last 6 games, so that should convert to over 70+ yards here.

Same Game Multi

Texans +7.5 / Under 42.5 / Nico Collins 70+ Receiving Yards = $5.20

Value Leg – Dalton Schultz 6+ Receptions

Schultz offers a reliable option in the receptions market. He’s gone over 6 catches in 4 of his last 5 games.

Texans +7.5 / Under 42.5 / Nico Collins 70+ Receiving Yards / Dalton Schultz 6+ Receptions = $16.00

NFL Tips – Giants Give the Pats a Scare in this $17 SGM!

Matt Abrahams — Wed, 26 Nov 2025 22:36:56 +0000

The New England Patriots are going for 10 straight victories when they reignite their rivalry with the Giants this Tuesday. I’ve got a SGM and NFL betting tips for this matchup.

New York Giants (2-10) at New England Patriots (10-2)

The Giants have had a rough season with a lot of close losses and injuries. Their last 3 games have been decided by 7 pts or less, so the 2-10 record probably doesn’t reflect where they’re at. They’ll also get starter Jaxson Dart back from concussion for this clash. The key against the Pats will be getting their defence back on track. They were tormented by the Lions last week and have given up 27.8 ppg.

The Patriots are the hottest team in football after 9 straight wins. They didn’t put away the Bengals last week in a 26-20 result, but a win is a win. Drake Maye continued his fine season with 294 passing yards and linked up with Hunter Henry when he needed him the most. At home, the Pats are 4-2 this season and will be looking to head into the bye with a 10 game winning streak.

Leg #1 – Giants +10.5

This could be a danger game for the Patriots. They were below their best against Cinci last week and picked up a few key injuries. The Giants also like playing New England, they have covered in 6 of the last 7 meetings. A margin under 11 pts should be achievable.

Leg #2 – TreVeyon Henderson 70+ Rushing Yards

The return of Rhamondre Stevenson didn’t change much for Henderson last week. He still finished with 18 carries and 66 rushing yards. He now faces the worst defence in the NFL for rushing yards allowed – 157 per game.

Leg #3 – Darius Slayton 3+ Receptions

With Dart at QB, Slayton has been one of his favourite targets and has caught 4 and 5 receptions in their last 2 games together.

Same Game Multi

Giants +10.5 / TreVeyon Henderson 70+ Rushing Yards / Darius Slayton 3+ Receptions = $6.50

Value Leg – Hunter Henry Anytime Touchdown Scorer

Henry was massive last week and let’s hope it continues against a struggling Giants defence. He finished with a season high in yards (115) and his second-most catches (7).

Giants +10.5 / TreVeyon Henderson 70+ Rushing Yards / Darius Slayton 3+ Receptions / Hunter Henry Anytime Touchdown Scorer = $17.00

NFL Tips – Bears Look for Upset in Philly!

Matt Abrahams — Wed, 26 Nov 2025 22:35:53 +0000

With the Bears and Eagles both holding 8-3 records, this is a must-win game. Here are my NFL betting tips for this clash.

Chicago Bears (8-3) at Philadelphia Eagles (8-3)

After 4 straight wins, the Bears are looking for another upset this weekend. They come off a huge 31-28 win over the Steelers and lead the NFC North division. One of the key reasons for their success has been their offence. They’re scoring 26 points per game and have the 2nd best rushing attack in the NFL.

The Eagles 4 game winning streak ended last week at the hands of the Cowboys 24-21 in Dallas. So, Philly will be fired up to bounce back and win at home against another NFC contender. Winning at home has been their strength as they’ve won 15 of their last 16 in Philadelphia. But they need to get their offence back after scoring just 21, 16 and 10 pts in their last 3 games.

Leg #1 – Bears +12.5

This should be a close game between two evenly matched teams in the NFC and I like the Bears to cover. They’ve been impressive on the road lately, winning 4 of their last 5. In their last 9 games, they’re 7-2 ATS as well. Philly haven’t been at their best lately, especially on offence so the Bears should be able to stick with them.

Leg #2 – Jalen Hurts Anytime Touchdown Scorer

Hurts is coming 3 rushing TDs in his last 2 games and the Bears haven’t been the best at defending the running game.

Leg #3 – Caleb Williams 200+ Passing Yards

Bears starting QB Caleb Williams comes off passing 239 yards last week and his season high total is 298 against Dallas. He has beaten 200+ passing yards in 4 of his last 5 games and Philly have allowed 225 passing yards per game this season.

Same Game Multi

Bears +12.5 / Jalen Hurts Anytime Touchdown Scorer / Caleb Williams 200+ Passing Yards = $5.00

Value Leg – DJ Moore Anytime Touchdown Scorer

DJ Moore found the endzone twice last week against the Steelers and finished with 5 catches / 64 yards. He’s also a dual-threat, having scored a rushing TD a few weeks ago.

Bears +12.5 / Jalen Hurts Anytime Touchdown Scorer / Caleb Williams 200+ Passing Yards / DJ Moore Anytime Touchdown Scorer = $12.00

NFL Tips – Cowboys to Challenge Chiefs in $7.00 SGM

Matt Abrahams — Wed, 26 Nov 2025 22:34:32 +0000

The second Thanksgiving game on Friday morning is a massive clash between two playoff hopefuls when the Cowboys host the Chiefs. Here are my NFL betting tips for this matchup.

Kansas City Chiefs (6-5) at Dallas Cowboys (5-5-1)

The Chiefs kept their playoff hopes alive with a huge 23-20 OT win over the Colts last week. Mahomes finished with 352 passing yards but no passing TDs. It was all about Kareem Hunt in the running game as he went over 100 rushing yards with a score. One of the Chiefs issues this year has been winning on the road as they’re just 1-4 in their last 5, so that will be a key factor when they travel to Dallas.

The Cowboys rallied from 21-0 down to beat the Eagles 24-21 in what was a crazy game. They’ve won 2 straight games, and a playoff spot is on the line when they take on the Chiefs. Their scoring ability is always there – they’re averaging 29.1 ppg this season. It’s just their defence that needs to stand up against Mahomes as they’ve been giving up 28.5 points per game (31st in the NFL).

Leg #1 – Cowboys +9.5

After beating the Eagles, this Cowboys team should be confident of stepping up against the Chiefs. Dallas will also get home-field advantage where they have covered the line in 5 of their last 7 home games. Their record against KC is great too, winning the last 5 on home turf. Kansas City are just 1-6 ATS on the road too.

Leg #2 – Patrick Mahomes 275+ Passing Yards

Mahomes comes off his highest passing yards total this season last week with 352 against the Colts. He has beaten 275+ yards in 4 of his last 5 games and Dallas are one of the worst passing defences in the league.

Leg #3 – Kareem Hunt Anytime Touchdown Scorer

Hunt is going for 5 straight games with a TD. Last week, he was massive with 30 carries and he found the endzone again. A nice matchup against the Cowboys leaky defence should make this a nice bet.

Same Game Multi

Cowboys +9.5 / Patrick Mahomes 275+ Passing Yards / Kareem Hunt Anytime Touchdown Scorer = $7.00

Value Leg – George Pickens Anytime Touchdown Scorer

Pickens is having a great season as a Cowboy, especially in the last 2 weeks. Against the Raiders and Eagles, he’s finished with an average of 145 receiving yards and caught a TD in both games too. In his last 4 games, he’s had 9+ targets so look for Dak to link up with him again on Friday.

Cowboys +9.5 / Patrick Mahomes 275+ Passing Yards / Kareem Hunt Anytime Touchdown Scorer / George Pickens Anytime Touchdown Scorer = $12.00

NFL Tips – McCaffrey Bowl in this $12 SGM!

Matt Abrahams — Sun, 23 Nov 2025 03:03:17 +0000

McCaffrey and his 49ers take on the Panthers in a huge NFC clash as both teams look for a wildcard playoff spot. Here are my tips and predictions for this one.

Carolina Panthers (6-5) at San Francisco 49ers (7-4)

The Panthers are having a good season at 6-5 and head to San Fran with a bit of confidence about an upset. They come off a thrilling OT win over the Falcons 30-27. Panthers QB Bryce Young was on fire with 448 passing yards and 3 TD’s. Tetairoa McMillan was his favourite target with 8 catches, 130 yards and 2 TDs. They face a 49ers defence that has struggled with injuries and stopping the pass, they rank 28th in the NFL for passing yards allowed.

San Francisco are a tough team to read at the moment. They lost 42-26 against the Rams at home a few weeks ago then smashed the Cardinals 41-22 last week. But they should enjoy having Brock Purdy back under centre after his 3 TD performance last week. Christian McCaffrey also faces his former team. He’s been looking back to his best recently so he’ll be looking for a big game. They rank 15th in the NFL for both points scored and allowed, so that kind of sums up their inconsistent season so far.

Leg #1 – Panthers +7.5

The Panthers don’t mind playing on the road. They beat Green Bay at Lambeau a few weeks ago and that’s not an easy task. On the road, Carolina are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 too. They like playing the 49ers having covered in 9 of their last 11 in San Fran. Meanwhile, the 49ers struggle to cover at home, going 1-5 ATS in their last 6.

Leg #2 – Bryce Young 225+ Passing Yards

Young comes off 448 passing yards in a matchup with Atlanta last week. When he has had a good matchup this season, he’s been easily clearing this 225+ passing yards mark. Also, the 49ers allowed Jacoby Brissett to torch them last week for 452 pass yards.

Leg #3 – Over 47.5

Both sides coming off 30 or more points last week and they should continue the momentum here. The Over is also 5-1 when the 49ers face a NFC team.

Same Game Multi

Panthers +7.5 / Bryce Young 225+ Passing Yards / Over 47.5 = $5.80

Value Leg – Christian McCaffrey 2+ Touchdowns

McCaffrey is coming off 3 total touchdowns last week, 2 on the ground and 1 in the passing game. He’s getting plenty of volume in both areas of the 49ers attack. He’s had over 6 passing targets in every game this season and has 10+ carries in 9 of 10 games. Not to mention, he’s facing his former team and that should give him extra motivation to have a huge game.

Panthers +7.5 / Bryce Young 225+ Passing Yards / Over 47.5 / Christian McCaffrey 2+ Touchdowns = $12.00

NFL Tips – Rams Continue Bucs Woes!

Matt Abrahams — Sun, 23 Nov 2025 03:02:06 +0000

The Rams look to continue their chase for the #1 seed in the NFC when the struggling Bucs come to LA in Monday’s primetime matchup. Here are my NFL betting tips for this Week 12 matchup.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers (6-4) at Los Angeles Rams (8-2)

After two straight defeats, the Bucs need a much-needed win when they head to LA on Monday. They come off a poor defensive performance in Buffalo as they allowed 44 pts and facing an in-form Rams attack won’t be easy either. But Sean Tucker showed some nice signs in the Bucs running game last week, finishing with 106 rushing yards and 2 TD’s. The key will be their pass defence against Stafford and based on numbers, the Bucs are likely going to struggle. They allowed the 27th most passing yards and gave up 3 passing TD’s to Josh Allen last game.

The Rams are on fire. They’ve won 5 straight games and have taken down divisional rivals in back to back games. They smashed the 49ers on the road 42-26 then held on to beat Seattle 21-19 at home last week. Rams QB Matthew Stafford is playing at a high level. He’s already totalled 27 passing touchdowns and he’s gone over 2+ pass TD’s in 4 straight games. As a result, they’re scoring 27 points per game, which ranks them 6th. On defence, they are just as good. They’ve given up just 17.2 ppg, which puts them 2nd in the league.

Leg #1 – Rams -6.5

It’s hard to see the Bucs defence getting better so this looks like a tough matchup for them. The Rams at home are a tough opposition too. They’ve won 9 of their last 11 at home against Tampa and have covered in 4 of their last 5 games.

Leg #2 – Over 48.5

The way the Bucs defence is playing, the Rams should really be able to take advantage and turn into this into a high scoring affair. The Over also has a 6-1 record when these two sides meet. Tampa Bay are 6-2 against the Over in their last 8 games as well.

Leg #3 – Kyren Williams Anytime Touchdown Scorer

Williams is likely the best bet to get back into the endzone in Week 12. He’s coming off 3 straight games with a TD and that includes 2 against the 49ers a few weeks ago. The Bucs defence gave up 6 total touchdowns last week so this should be a nice matchup.

Same Game Multi

Rams -6.5 / Over 48.5 / Kyren Williams Anytime Touchdown Scorer = $4.20

Value Leg – Matthew Stafford 3+ Passing Touchdowns

Stafford is in MVP form right now and he should dominate the Bucs struggling secondary. This season, he has tossed 3+ touchdowns in 5 of 10 games at a strike rate of 50%.

Rams -6.5 / Over 48.5 / Kyren Williams Anytime Touchdown Scorer / Matthew Stafford 3+ Passing Touchdowns = $5.80